Creditinfo analysis reveals Lithuanian textile industry severely hit by the pandemic
According to Creditinfo Lietuva, the textile industry of Lithuania is among the business areas which was hit by the pandemic extremely hard. In some sectors of the textile industry, the revenue is 30% below where it was before the pandemic, clothing manufacturers lost 11.7% and leather companies 31% of their employees. 17% of clothes making companies and 15% of textile manufacturers have been given high or very high bankruptcy risk scores.
“Textile industry, an extremely important business sector in Lithuania, is facing unprecedented challenges all over the world. Together with services, tourism and catering, the textile business has been suffering from a severe hit the consequences of which will persist for many more months to come”, says Aurimas Kačinskas, General Manager at Creditinfo Lietuva. “Unfortunately, there is little room for optimism in the immediate future of the sector, which means we‘ll have to keep business partners of the sector under a magnifying glass for quite some time”.
Further Downfall by 30% is Forecast if Global Lockdown Continues
A few days ago, “Coface” published its latest analysis of the global economy, where the economic forecast was downgraded only for the Central and Eastern Europe textile sector, while the textile industry itself, like global textile, was moved from high risk to the very high risk category. It means that no recovery or return to the pre-covid level is expected in textile industry until the end of the year. According to “Coface”, in the best-case scenario the decline of the textile industry will come to a halt at the end of the year, provided there are no new lockdowns introduced globally. If the countries worldwide continue imposing movement and social contact restrictions, this year will only see a further shrinking of the textile industry down to 30 percent of its volume in 2020, the year of hardship.
According to Statistic Department of Lithuania, the textile industry of Lithuania is made up of companies engaged in clothes making, textile manufacturing, leather processing and leather manufacturing businesses.
Employment at Leather Companies Plunged by 31 per-cent
According to Creditinfo, 949 companies reported textile-related activities as their core business last spring; there are 942 of such companies this year. Although the difference is slim, the true impact of the pandemic is revealed by the employment statistics. For instance, over the period of one year the number of employees at the clothes making companies dropped from 15,142 to 13,364 (11.7 per cent), and from 684 down to 472 (31 percent) at leather processing and leather manufacturing companies
Analysis conducted by Creditinfo revealed the revenue of textile manufacturing companies shrunk by 3.1 percent (from EUR 470.4 million to 455.8 million) compared with their revenue in 2019. The same trend was observed at the cloth making companies, where the revenue dropped by 19.9 percent from EUR 457.1 million down to 365.9 million, and leather processing and leather manufacturing companies with revenue going down by 30.2 percent from EUR 23.1 million to 16.2 million.
“We noticed that small and medium sized textile companies suffered the most, while large companies still had orders to fulfil”, says the CEO of the credit bureau. “Yet it is rather likely that the further shrinking textile market this year will reduce the number of orders for the large companies, too. It means that even more employees will be forced out of their jobs in the sector”.
1/6th of Companies with High and Very High-Risk Scores
According to the credit bureau, about 17% of cloth making companies and 15% of textile manufacturers currently are ranked as high bankruptcy risk companies.
“Earlier, the textile business was growing for quite some time, and so did the creditworthiness of the companies. Currently, the risk scores of textile companies brought them in line with problem sectors such as construction and transport”, Kačinskas explains.
Moreover, experts of the credit bureau noted, that only 25 percent of the companies in the textile industry submitted their financial statements for 2020. “It seems that only companies applying for subsidies or other pandemic-related reliefs submitted their financial statements as they were required to get the subsidies”, says Kačinskas. “We call upon all companies to declare their financial situation in time, as it will enable all market players to make more objective assessment of the textile sector, and help business partners to make more accurate decisions”.
For more information, please contact:
Aurimas Kačinskas, General Manager, Creditinfo Lietuva